Alanyaspor vs Samsunspor
Alanyaspor
#12 · Süper Lig
DLDDW
2 - 3
Alanya Oba Stadium, Alanya
Referee: O. Ergun
Samsunspor
#7 · Süper Lig
DWLDW
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.80
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.73 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 53.9% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Alanyaspor will face Samsunspor in the Süper Lig at Alanya Oba Stadium.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Alanyaspor has a 41.5% probability of winning this match. Samsunspor has a 33.6% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 24.9%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Samsunspor have kept clean sheets in 53% of their matches
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Alanyaspor41.5%2.31
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.551.4%1.81
Both Teams to Score
Yes53.9%1.73
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
5.77
17.4%
1-0
7.39
13.6%
0-0
8.57
11.8%
2-1
8.70
11.6%
0-1
8.80
11.4%
1-2
10.36
9.8%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.31 | Draw 3.10 | Away 3.13 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.99 | Under 1.81 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.30 | Under 3.29 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 3.37 | Under 1.29 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.73 | No 2.00 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.34 | 12 1.33 | X2 1.57 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals89%
Over 1.5 Goals71.6%
Over 2.5 Goals48.6%
Over 3.5 Goals27.7%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Süper Lig Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Galatasaray | 30 | 22 | 5 | 3 | 69 | 23 | 46 | 71 | WDWLW |
| 2 |  Fenerbahçe | 30 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 68 | 30 | 38 | 67 | DWWWL |
| 3 |  Trabzonspor | 30 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 57 | 32 | 25 | 65 | DDWWW |
| 4 |  Beşiktaş | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 54 | 36 | 18 | 55 | LWLWW |
| 5 |  Başakşehir | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 48 | DWDDL |
| 6 |  Göztepe | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 48 | DDLWD |
| 7 | Samsunspor | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 | WWLDW |
| 12 | Alanyaspor | 30 | 6 | 15 | 9 | 35 | 35 | 0 | 33 | LDDWD |
| 16 |  Eyüpspor | 30 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 22 | 44 | -22 | 25 | WLLLL |
| 17 |  Kayserispor | 30 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 21 | 57 | -36 | 23 | LLLWL |
| 18 |  Fatih Karagümrük | 30 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 27 | 53 | -26 | 20 | LLWLW |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonAlanyasporSamsunspor
1.5Goals p.g.1.29
1.38Goals conceded p.g.1.18
25%Clean sheets53%
19%Win rate47%
2.88Avg goals in match2.47
Recent Results
AlanyasporLAST MATCHES
23 AprBeşiktaş0–0AlanyasporTürkiye Kupası
19 AprKasımpaşa1–0AlanyasporSüper Lig
11 AprAlanyaspor1–1TrabzonsporSüper Lig
04 AprGaziantep FK1–1AlanyasporSüper Lig
18 MarAlanyaspor5–0KocaelisporSüper Lig
14 MarGöztepe2–2AlanyasporSüper Lig
3Win19%
7Draw44%
6Lost38%
LAST MATCHESSamsunspor
23 AprSamsunspor0–0TrabzonsporTürkiye Kupası
19 AprSamsunspor2–1BeşiktaşSüper Lig
09 AprRizespor4–1SamsunsporSüper Lig
05 AprSamsunspor2–2KonyasporSüper Lig
19 MarRayo Vallecano0–1SamsunsporUEFA Europa Conference League
15 MarSamsunspor2–1KayserisporSüper Lig
8Win47%
4Draw24%
5Lost29%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersAlanyaspor
No reported absences
Samsunspor
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
Value Bets
Alanyaspor Win2.31 (41.5%)
Samsunspor Win3.13 (33.6%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.99 (48.6%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.81 (51.4%)
Both Teams Score1.73 (53.9%)
BTTS No2.00 (46.1%)
Speculative
Draw3.10 (24.9%)
