1899 Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund
1899 Hoffenheim
#5 · Bundesliga
WDLLD
2 - 1
PreZero Arena, Sinsheim
Referee: D. Siebert
Borussia Dortmund
#2 · Bundesliga
LLWWW
★ OUR PICK
1899 Hoffenheim to Win
Slight home form and superior underlying numbers over Borussia Dortmund make 1899 Hoffenheim the value pick here.
Moneyline
2.67
BEST ODDS
Value found: Bookmakers offer average 2.47 (implied 40.4%) for 1899 Hoffenheim to Win. Our model calculates a 42.6% probability, which translates to fair odds of 2.35. The bookmaker price is higher than our fair value — you are getting paid more than the true probability suggests.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , 1899 Hoffenheim will face Borussia Dortmund in the Bundesliga at PreZero Arena.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that 1899 Hoffenheim has a 42.6% probability of winning this match. Borussia Dortmund has a 36.1% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 21.3%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Borussia Dortmund have won 3 of their last 5 games
- 1899 Hoffenheim average 2.0 goals per game
- With a combined average of 3.9 goals per game, expect an entertaining fixture
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — 1899 Hoffenheim42.6%2.47
✓ OUR PICK
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.564.9%1.47
Both Teams to Score
Yes66.2%1.42
Based on avg. implied odds from 13 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
7.47
13.4%
2-1
9.23
10.9%
1-2
9.54
10.6%
2-2
10.21
9.8%
1-0
12.38
8.1%
0-1
12.64
8%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.47 | Draw 3.82 | Away 2.58 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.47 | Under 2.59 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.13 | Under 5.44 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.22 | Under 1.67 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.42 | No 2.72 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.49 | 12 1.25 | X2 1.54 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals94.3%
Over 1.5 Goals82.7%
Over 2.5 Goals64.9%
Over 3.5 Goals42.9%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Bundesliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 30 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 109 | 29 | 80 | 79 | WWWWD |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 61 | 31 | 30 | 64 | LLWWW |
| 3 |  RB Leipzig | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 62 | 38 | 24 | 62 | WWWWW |
| 4 |  VfB Stuttgart | 30 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 56 | LWLWW |
| 5 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 59 | 44 | 15 | 54 | WDLLD |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 60 | 41 | 19 | 52 | LWWDD |
| 16 |  FC St. Pauli | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 26 | 51 | -25 | 26 | DLDLL |
| 17 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 41 | 66 | -25 | 24 | WLLLD |
| 18 |  1. FC Heidenheim | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 33 | 66 | -33 | 19 | LWDDL |
Key Statistics
2025 Season1899 HoffenheimBorussia Dortmund
2Goals p.g.1.93
1.6Goals conceded p.g.1.33
20%Clean sheets33%
53%Win rate60%
3.6Avg goals in match3.27
Recent Results
1899 HoffenheimLAST MATCHES
18 Apr1899 Hoffenheim2–1Borussia DortmundBundesliga
10 AprFC Augsburg2–21899 HoffenheimBundesliga
04 Apr1899 Hoffenheim1–2FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga
20 MarRB Leipzig5–01899 HoffenheimBundesliga
14 Mar1899 Hoffenheim1–1VfL WolfsburgBundesliga
07 Mar1. FC Heidenheim2–41899 HoffenheimBundesliga
8Win53%
3Draw20%
4Lost27%
LAST MATCHESBorussia Dortmund
18 Apr1899 Hoffenheim2–1Borussia DortmundBundesliga
11 AprBorussia Dortmund0–1Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga
04 AprVfB Stuttgart0–2Borussia DortmundBundesliga
21 MarBorussia Dortmund3–2Hamburger SVBundesliga
14 MarBorussia Dortmund2–0FC AugsburgBundesliga
07 Mar1. FC Köln1–2Borussia DortmundBundesliga
9Win60%
1Draw7%
5Lost33%
Lineups
Confirmed1899 Hoffenheim3-4-1-2Confirmed
5Ozan KabakDEF
13BernardoDEF
21Albian HajdariDEF
11Fisnik AsllaniFWD
27Andrej KramarićFWD
19Tim LemperleFWD
1Oliver BaumannGK
34Vladimir CoufalMID
18Wouter BurgerMID
29Bazoumana TouréMID
7Leon AvdullahuMID
Substitutes
25Kevin AkpogumaDEF
22Alexander PrassDEF
2Robin HranáčDEF
20Cole CampbellFWD
33Max MoerstedtFWD
9Ihlas BebouFWD
37Luca PhilippGK
10Muhammed DamarMID
6Grischa PromelMID
Borussia Dortmund3-4-2-1Confirmed
3Waldemar AntonDEF
4Nico SchlotterbeckDEF
25Niklas SuleDEF
14Maximilian BeierFWD
21Fábio SilvaFWD
17Carney ChukwuemekaFWD
1Gregor KobelGK
20Marcel SabitzerMID
26Julian RyersonMID
24Daniel SvenssonMID
7Jobe BellinghamMID
Substitutes
2Yan CoutoDEF
5Ramy BensebainiDEF
39Filippo ManéDEF
9Serhou GuirassyFWD
41Mathis AlbertFWD
40Samuele InacioFWD
33Alexander MeyerGK
10Julian BrandtMID
6Salih ÖzcanMID
Unavailable Players
9 players1899 Hoffenheim4
A. Hlozek
Missing FixtureCalf Injury
F. Micheler
QuestionableInjury
K. Machida
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
V. Gendrey
Missing FixtureAnkle Injury
Borussia Dortmund5
E. Can
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
F. Mane
QuestionableThigh Injury
F. Nmecha
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
K. Adeyemi
Missing FixtureMuscle Injury
Y. Couto
Missing FixtureMuscle Injury
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.47 (64.9%)
Both Teams Score1.42 (66.2%)
Value Bets
1899 Hoffenheim Win2.47 (42.6%)
Borussia Dortmund Win2.58 (36.1%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.59 (35.1%)
BTTS No2.72 (33.8%)
Speculative
Draw3.82 (21.3%)
