1. FC Heidenheim vs FC St. Pauli

BundesligaRegular Season - 31
1. FC Heidenheim
#18 · Bundesliga
LDDLL
2 - 0
Voith-Arena, Heidenheim
FC St. Pauli
#16 · Bundesliga
DLLDW
41.1%
Home Win
23.6%
Draw
35.2%
Away Win
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.73
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.69 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 56.4% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.

Match Overview

On , 1. FC Heidenheim will face FC St. Pauli in the Bundesliga at Voith-Arena.

Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that 1. FC Heidenheim has a 41.1% probability of winning this match. FC St. Pauli has a 35.2% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 23.6%.

Match Preview

AI

Predictions

Closely matched
Match Result
1 — 1. FC Heidenheim41.1%2.33
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.552.1%1.91
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.

Correct Score

Most likely outcomes
1-1
6.14
16.3%
1-0
7.83
12.8%
2-1
8.59
11.7%
0-1
9.14
11%
1-2
10.10
9.9%
0-0
10.42
9.7%

Match Odds

Avg. bookmaker odds
MarketOption 1Option 2Option 3
1X2Home 2.33Draw 3.35Away 3.00
O/U 2.5Over 1.91Under 1.90
O/U 1.5Over 1.28Under 3.52
O/U 3.5Over 3.20Under 1.33
BTTSYes 1.69No 2.07
Double Chance1X 1.3812 1.30X2 1.58

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
90.8%
Over 1.5 Goals
73.3%
Over 2.5 Goals
52.1%
Over 3.5 Goals
29.3%

Head to Head

Loading head-to-head data...

Bundesliga Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Bayern München
302541109298079
WWWWD
2
Borussia Dortmund
30197461313064
LLWWW
3
RB Leipzig
31195762382462
WWWWW
4
VfB Stuttgart
30175862422056
LWLWW
5
1899 Hoffenheim
30166859441554
WDLLD
6
Bayer Leverkusen
30157860411952
LWWDD
16
FC St. Pauli
3068162651-2526
DLDLL
17
VfL Wolfsburg
3066184166-2524
WLLLD
18
1. FC Heidenheim
3047193366-3319
LWDDL

Key Statistics

2025 Season
1. FC HeidenheimFC St. Pauli
1.21Goals p.g.0.85
2.21Goals conceded p.g.1.54
0%Clean sheets23%
0%Win rate23%
3.43Avg goals in match2.38

Recent Results

1. FC HeidenheimLAST MATCHES
19 AprSC Freiburg211. FC HeidenheimBundesliga
04 AprBorussia Mönchengladbach221. FC HeidenheimBundesliga
21 Mar1. FC Heidenheim33Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga
14 MarEintracht Frankfurt101. FC HeidenheimBundesliga
07 Mar1. FC Heidenheim241899 HoffenheimBundesliga
28 FebWerder Bremen201. FC HeidenheimBundesliga
0Win0%
5Draw36%
9Lost64%
LAST MATCHESFC St. Pauli
05 AprUnion Berlin11FC St. PauliBundesliga
22 MarFC St. Pauli12SC FreiburgBundesliga
13 MarBorussia Mönchengladbach20FC St. PauliBundesliga
08 MarFC St. Pauli00Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga
28 Feb1899 Hoffenheim01FC St. PauliBundesliga
22 FebFC St. Pauli21Werder BremenBundesliga
3Win23%
4Draw31%
6Lost46%

Lineups

Confirmed

1. FC Heidenheim4-3-1-2Confirmed

2Marnon BuschDEF
26Hennes BehrensDEF
19Jonas FohrenbachDEF
6Patrick MainkaDEF
18Marvin PieringerFWD
11Budu ZivzivadzeFWD
41Diant RamajGK
3Jan SchöppnerMID
8Eren DinkçiMID
21Adrian BeckMID
30Niklas DorschMID
4Tim SierslebenDEF
23Haktab Omar TraoreDEF
25Leonidas StergiouDEF
9Stefan SchimmerFWD
10Christian Joe ContehFWD
40Frank FellerGK
20Luca KerberMID
16Julian NiehuesMID
22Arijon IbrahimovićMID

FC St. Pauli3-4-2-1Confirmed

5Hauke WahlDEF
3Karol MetsDEF
15Tomoya AndoDEF
10Danel SinaniFWD
27Andreas HountondjiFWD
16Joel Chima FujitaFWD
22Nikola VasiljGK
2Manolis SaliakasMID
11Arkadiusz PyrkaMID
7Jackson IrvineMID
20Mathias RasmussenMID
23Louis OppieDEF
21Lars RitzkaDEF
25Adam DzwigalaDEF
18Taichi HaraFWD
9Abdoulie CeesayFWD
19Martijn KaarsFWD
1Ben VollGK
24Connor MetcalfeMID
8Eric SmithMID

Unavailable Players

9 players

1. FC Heidenheim6

E. Dinkci
QuestionableInjury
L. Paqarada
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
M. Honsak
QuestionableInjury
M. Kaufmann
Missing FixtureMuscle Injury
N. Rothweiler
Missing FixtureMuscle Injury
S. Conteh
Missing FixtureKnee Injury

FC St. Pauli3

J. Sands
Missing FixtureAnkle Injury
M. Pereira Lage
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
R. Jones
Missing FixtureAnkle Injury

Betting Strategy

High Probability
Both Teams Score1.69 (56.4%)
Value Bets
1. FC Heidenheim Win2.33 (41.1%)
FC St. Pauli Win3.00 (35.2%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.91 (52.1%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.90 (47.9%)
BTTS No2.07 (43.6%)
Speculative
Draw3.35 (23.6%)
1. FC Heidenheim vs FC St. Pauli Predictions, Stats, H2H - 25 Apr 2026 | SureTipsPro