1. FC Heidenheim vs FC St. Pauli

1. FC Heidenheim
#18 · Bundesliga
LDDLL
2 - 0
Voith-Arena, Heidenheim

FC St. Pauli
#16 · Bundesliga
DLLDW
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.73
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.69 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 56.4% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , 1. FC Heidenheim will face FC St. Pauli in the Bundesliga at Voith-Arena.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that 1. FC Heidenheim has a 41.1% probability of winning this match. FC St. Pauli has a 35.2% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 23.6%.
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — 1. FC Heidenheim41.1%2.33
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.552.1%1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes56.4%1.69
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.14
16.3%
1-0
7.83
12.8%
2-1
8.59
11.7%
0-1
9.14
11%
1-2
10.10
9.9%
0-0
10.42
9.7%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.33 | Draw 3.35 | Away 3.00 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.91 | Under 1.90 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.28 | Under 3.52 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 3.20 | Under 1.33 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.69 | No 2.07 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.38 | 12 1.30 | X2 1.58 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals90.8%
Over 1.5 Goals73.3%
Over 2.5 Goals52.1%
Over 3.5 Goals29.3%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Bundesliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 109 | 29 | 80 | 79 | WWWWD | |
| 2 | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 61 | 31 | 30 | 64 | LLWWW | |
| 3 | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 62 | 38 | 24 | 62 | WWWWW | |
| 4 | 30 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 56 | LWLWW | |
| 5 | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 59 | 44 | 15 | 54 | WDLLD | |
| 6 | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 60 | 41 | 19 | 52 | LWWDD | |
| 16 | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 26 | 51 | -25 | 26 | DLDLL | |
| 17 | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 41 | 66 | -25 | 24 | WLLLD | |
| 18 | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 33 | 66 | -33 | 19 | LWDDL |
Key Statistics
2025 Season1. FC HeidenheimFC St. Pauli
1.21Goals p.g.0.85
2.21Goals conceded p.g.1.54
0%Clean sheets23%
0%Win rate23%
3.43Avg goals in match2.38
Recent Results
1. FC HeidenheimLAST MATCHES
19 AprSC Freiburg2–11. FC HeidenheimBundesliga
04 AprBorussia Mönchengladbach2–21. FC HeidenheimBundesliga
21 Mar1. FC Heidenheim3–3Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga
14 MarEintracht Frankfurt1–01. FC HeidenheimBundesliga
07 Mar1. FC Heidenheim2–41899 HoffenheimBundesliga
28 FebWerder Bremen2–01. FC HeidenheimBundesliga
0Win0%
5Draw36%
9Lost64%
LAST MATCHESFC St. Pauli
05 AprUnion Berlin1–1FC St. PauliBundesliga
22 MarFC St. Pauli1–2SC FreiburgBundesliga
13 MarBorussia Mönchengladbach2–0FC St. PauliBundesliga
08 MarFC St. Pauli0–0Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga
28 Feb1899 Hoffenheim0–1FC St. PauliBundesliga
22 FebFC St. Pauli2–1Werder BremenBundesliga
3Win23%
4Draw31%
6Lost46%
Lineups
Confirmed
1. FC Heidenheim4-3-1-2Confirmed
2Marnon BuschDEF
26Hennes BehrensDEF
19Jonas FohrenbachDEF
6Patrick MainkaDEF
18Marvin PieringerFWD
11Budu ZivzivadzeFWD
41Diant RamajGK
3Jan SchöppnerMID
8Eren DinkçiMID
21Adrian BeckMID
30Niklas DorschMID
Substitutes
4Tim SierslebenDEF
23Haktab Omar TraoreDEF
25Leonidas StergiouDEF
9Stefan SchimmerFWD
10Christian Joe ContehFWD
40Frank FellerGK
20Luca KerberMID
16Julian NiehuesMID
22Arijon IbrahimovićMID
FC St. Pauli3-4-2-1Confirmed
5Hauke WahlDEF
3Karol MetsDEF
15Tomoya AndoDEF
10Danel SinaniFWD
27Andreas HountondjiFWD
16Joel Chima FujitaFWD
22Nikola VasiljGK
2Manolis SaliakasMID
11Arkadiusz PyrkaMID
7Jackson IrvineMID
20Mathias RasmussenMID
Substitutes
23Louis OppieDEF
21Lars RitzkaDEF
25Adam DzwigalaDEF
18Taichi HaraFWD
9Abdoulie CeesayFWD
19Martijn KaarsFWD
1Ben VollGK
24Connor MetcalfeMID
8Eric SmithMID
Unavailable Players
9 players
1. FC Heidenheim6
E. Dinkci
QuestionableInjury
L. Paqarada
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
M. Honsak
QuestionableInjury
M. Kaufmann
Missing FixtureMuscle Injury
N. Rothweiler
Missing FixtureMuscle Injury
S. Conteh
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
FC St. Pauli3
J. Sands
Missing FixtureAnkle Injury
M. Pereira Lage
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
R. Jones
Missing FixtureAnkle Injury
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Both Teams Score1.69 (56.4%)
Value Bets
1. FC Heidenheim Win2.33 (41.1%)
FC St. Pauli Win3.00 (35.2%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.91 (52.1%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.90 (47.9%)
BTTS No2.07 (43.6%)
Speculative
Draw3.35 (23.6%)








